MetaculusClarity in a complex world
Forecasting Platform

Collective intelligence for the public good

Business Solutions

For informed decision-making

FutureEval

Our AI Forecasting Benchmark

Radiant

Map the Future Before You Build It

Labor Hub

Future of work & AI

Staff Picks

πŸ’₯Iran Warβš”οΈMetaculus Cup❓Top QuestionsπŸ—žοΈCurrent EventsπŸ€–Artificial Intelligence🌍GeopoliticsπŸ’ΌEconomy and BusinessπŸš€Space
3 comments
5 forecasters

Will there be a large diffusion of robotics in the US household market before 2033?

Current estimate
2.75 Criteria Fulfilled
10 comments
16 forecasters

When will commercially available robots be able to build IKEA furniture on their own?

Current estimate
30 Aug 2030
0 comments
4 forecasters

What will be the annual global economic cost of soil degradation in 2035?

Current estimate
17.3T US$
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will the Argo Program cover the deep ocean before 2036?

25%chance
4 comments
7 forecasters

Will Professor Layton and the New World of Steam be released in 2026?

84.8%chance
6 comments
15 forecasters

Will there be a nationwide anti-government uprising in Russia between September 20 and November 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
14 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on May 14, 2026?

Current estimate
39.2%
8 comments
6 forecasters

How many robotics companies will reach a valuation of over $100B before 2032?

Current estimate
9.41 Companies
0 comments
33 forecasters

Will the US and China jointly announce a new bilateral trade agreement in 2026?

35%chance
3 comments
72 forecasters

Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026?

30%chance
28% this week
1 comment
10 forecasters

Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
4 comments

When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
Featured in